| Estimate | | Forecast |
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| 12 Months 06/30/09 | |
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12 Months 06/30/10 | |
12 Months 06/30/11 | |
12 Months 06/30/12 | |
12 Months 06/30/13 | |
12 Months 06/30/14 | |
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1. Working Capital Management: | |
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Net Working Capital: | |
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Current Assets | $186 | |
| $210 | |
$239 | |
$269 | |
$304 | |
$347 | |
Current Liabilities | (120) | |
| (131) | |
(137) | |
(138) | |
(138) | |
(134) | |
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Net Working Capital | $66 | |
| $79 | |
$102 | |
$131 | |
$166 | |
$213 | |
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Current Ratio: | |
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Current Assets, divided by Current Liabilities | 1.55 | |
| 1.61 | |
1.74 | |
1.94 | |
2.20 | |
2.60 | |
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Quick Ratio: | |
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Cash plus Accounts Receivable divided by Current Liabilities | 0.75 | |
| 0.76 | |
0.82 | |
0.90 | |
1.01 | |
1.18 | |
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Net Working Capital Turnover: | |
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Net Sales, divided by Net Working Capital | 7.58 | |
| 7.28 | |
6.48 | |
5.80 | |
5.27 | |
4.72 | |
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2. Asset Management: | |
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Number of Days Sales in Accounts Receivable | |
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Accounts Receivable, divided by Net Sales/365 | 47.5 | |
| 47.8 | |
47.8 | |
47.8 | |
47.8 | |
47.8 | |
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Number of Days Cost of Goods Sold in Inventory | |
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Inventory, divided by Cost of Goods Sold / 365 | 97.2 | |
| 97.8 | |
97.8 | |
97.8 | |
97.8 | |
97.8 | |
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Capital Expenditures (Net): | |
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Ending Property, Plant and Equipment, minus Beginning Property, Plant and Equipment | NA | |
| $18 | |
$20 | |
$23 | |
$27 | |
$31 | |
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Depreciation (Net): | |
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Ending Accumulated Depreciation, minus Beginning Accumulated Depreciation | NA | |
| $9 | |
$10 | |
$12 | |
$14 | |
$16 | |
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Net Property, Plant and Equipment: | |
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Property, Plant and Equipment, minus Accumulated Depreciation | $55 | |
| $64 | |
$73 | |
$84 | |
$97 | |
$112 | |
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Fixed Asset Turnover: | |
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Net Sales, divided by Net Property, Plant and Equipment | 9.09 | |
| 9.01 | |
9.01 | |
9.01 | |
9.00 | |
9.01 | |
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Total Asset Turnover: | |
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Net Sales, divided Total Assets | 1.92 | |
| 1.94 | |
1.95 | |
1.98 | |
2.00 | |
2.01 | |
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3. Liabilities Management: | |
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Number of Days Cost of Goods Sold in Accounts Payable: | |
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Accounts Payable, divided by Cost of Goods Sold / 365 | 42.1 | |
| 41.8 | |
41.8 | |
41.8 | |
41.8 | |
41.8 | |
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Number of Days Operating Expenses in Accrued Expenses: | |
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Accrued Expenses, divided by Operating Expenses / 365 | 101.4 | |
| 101.3 | |
101.3 | |
101.3 | |
101.3 | |
101.3 | |
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Current Maturities: | |
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Current Maturities of Long Term Debt | $11 | |
| $13 | |
$15 | |
$17 | |
$20 | |
$23 | |
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Long Term Liabilities, as % of Total Assets: | |
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Total Long Term Liabilities, divided by Total Assets | 22.2% | |
| 21.9% | |
22.2% | |
22.7% | |
22.9% | |
23.0% | |
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Total Liabilities, as % of Total Assets: | |
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Total Liabilities, divided by Total Assets | 68.2% | |
| 66.0% | |
62.8% | |
58.8% | |
54.6% | |
49.8% | |
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Debt-to-Worth Ratio: | |
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Total Liabilities, divided by Owners' Equity | 2.14 | |
| 1.94 | |
1.69 | |
1.43 | |
1.20 | |
0.99 | |
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4. Profitability Management: | |
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Gross Margin on Sales: | |
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Net Sales, minus Cost of Goods Sold | $162 | |
| $190 | |
$218 | |
$255 | |
$295 | |
$342 | |
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Gross Margin %: | |
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Gross Margin on Sales, divided by Net Sales | 32.4% | |
| 33.0% | |
33.0% | |
33.5% | |
33.7% | |
34.0% | |
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Operating Earnings: | |
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Gross Margin on sales, minus Operating Expenses | $18 | |
| $35 | |
$46 | |
$57 | |
$68 | |
$86 | |
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Operating Earnings %: | |
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Operating Earnings, divided by Net Sales | 3.6% | |
| 6.1% | |
7.0% | |
7.5% | |
7.8% | |
8.6% | |
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Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization of Intangible Assets (Referred to as "EBITDA") | |
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Net Earnings, plus Interest Expense, plus Income Tax Expense, plus Depreciation, plus Amortization of Intangible Assets ("EBITDA") | $12 | |
| $45 | |
$58 | |
$73 | |
$88 | |
$110 | |
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EBITDA as % of Net Sales: | |
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EBITDA, divided by Net Sales | 2.4% | |
| 7.8% | |
8.8% | |
9.6% | |
10.1% | |
11.0% | |
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Earnings Before Income Taxes: | |
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Net Earnings, plus Income Taxes | $12 | |
| $30 | |
$41 | |
$54 | |
$67 | |
$88 | |
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Net Earnings Per Share: | |
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Net Earnings, divided by Common Shares Outstanding | $0.07 | |
| $0.30 | |
$0.41 | |
$0.54 | |
$0.67 | |
$0.88 | |
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Earnings Before Income Taxes as % of Net Sales: | |
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Earnings Before Income Taxes, divided by Net Sales | 2.4% | |
| 5.2% | |
6.2% | |
7.1% | |
7.7% | |
8.8% | |
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Net Earnings as % of Net Sales: | |
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Net Earnings, divided by Net Sales | 1.4% | |
| 5.2% | |
6.2% | |
7.1% | |
7.7% | |
8.8% | |
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5.   Debt Management: | |
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Senior Interest Expense: | |
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Interest on Line of Credit, plus Interest on Term Loan | $0 | |
| $6 | |
$7 | |
$7 | |
$7 | |
$6 | |
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Non-Senior Interest Expense: | |
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Interest on Subordinated Debt | $0 | |
| $0 | |
$0 | |
$0 | |
$0 | |
$0 | |
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Total Interest Expense: | |
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Senior Interest Expense, plus Non-Senior Interest Expense | $0 | |
| $6 | |
$7 | |
$7 | |
$7 | |
$6 | |
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EBITDA Coverage of Senior Interest Expense: | |
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EBITDA, divided by Senior Interest Expense | 0.00 | |
| 7.50 | |
8.29 | |
10.43 | |
12.57 | |
18.33 | |
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EBITDA Coverage of Total Interest Expense: | |
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EBITDA, divided by Total Interest Expense | 0.00 | |
| 7.50 | |
8.29 | |
10.43 | |
12.57 | |
18.33 | |
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Required Debt Service: | |
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Total Interest Expense, plus Current Maturities | $11 | |
| $19 | |
$22 | |
$24 | |
$27 | |
$29 | |
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EBITDA Coverage of Required Debt Service: | |
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EBITDA, divided by Required Debt Service | 1.09 | |
| 2.37 | |
2.64 | |
3.04 | |
3.26 | |
3.79 | |
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EBITDA minus Capex, divided By Required Debt Service: | |
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EBITDA minus Capital Expenditures, divided by Required Debt Service | 1.09 | |
| 1.43 | |
1.75 | |
2.08 | |
2.27 | |
2.74 | |
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Free Cash Flow: | |
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Net Earnings, plus Depreciation minus Capital Expenditures, minus Dividends | $7 | |
| $9 | |
$15 | |
$21 | |
$27 | |
$39 | |
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Cash Available for Debt Service: | |
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Free Cash Flow, plus Total Interest Expense | $7 | |
| $15 | |
$22 | |
$28 | |
$34 | |
$45 | |
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Debt Service Coverage: | |
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Cash Available for Debt Service, divided by Required Debt Service | 0.64 | |
| 0.80 | |
1.02 | |
1.17 | |
1.27 | |
1.53 | |
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6. Estimated Bank Credit Availability: | |
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Borrowing Base Assets: | |
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Accounts Receivable | $65 | |
| $75 | |
$87 | |
$100 | |
$114 | |
$132 | |
Inventory | 90 | |
| 103 | |
119 | |
135 | |
155 | |
178 | |
Property, Plant and Equipment (Net) | 55 | |
| 64 | |
73 | |
84 | |
97 | |
112 | |
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Estimated Borrowing Base %: | |
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Accounts Receivable | 80.0% | |
| 80.0% | |
80.0% | |
80.0% | |
80.0% | |
80.0% | |
Inventory | 35.0% | |
| 35.0% | |
35.0% | |
35.0% | |
35.0% | |
35.0% | |
Property, Plant and Equipment | 50.0% | |
| 50.0% | |
50.0% | |
50.0% | |
50.0% | |
50.0% | |
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Estimated Amount Available to Borrow: | |
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Accounts Receivable | $52 | |
| $60 | |
$70 | |
$80 | |
$91 | |
$106 | |
Inventory | 32 | |
| 36 | |
42 | |
47 | |
54 | |
62 | |
Property, Plant and Equipment | 28 | |
| 32 | |
37 | |
42 | |
49 | |
56 | |
| | | |
| $112 | |
| $128 | |
$149 | |
$169 | |
$194 | |
$224 | |
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Loans Outstanding: | |
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Line of Credit | $29 | |
| $30 | |
$22 | |
$7 | |
$(12) | |
$(37) | |
Current Maturities | 11 | |
| 13 | |
15 | |
17 | |
20 | |
23 | |
Term Loan | 38 | |
| 44 | |
51 | |
59 | |
68 | |
78 | |
| | | |
| $78 | |
| $87 | |
$89 | |
$84 | |
$76 | |
$63 | |
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Estimated Net Bank Borrowing Availability: | |
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Estimated Amount Available to Borrow, minus Loans Outstanding | $34 | |
| $41 | |
$60 | |
$85 | |
$118 | |
$161 | |
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Senior Debt Outstanding as Multiple of EBITDA | 6.5 | |
| 1.9 | |
1.5 | |
1.2 | |
0.9 | |
0.6 | |