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Actual |
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Forecast |
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Forecast |
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| 12 Months 12/31/96 | | 12 Months 12/31/97 | | 12 Months 12/31/98 | | 12 Months 12/31/99 | | 3 Months 03/31/00 | | 12 Months 12/31/00 | | 12 Months 12/31/01 | | 12 Months 12/31/02 | | 12 Months 12/31/03 | | 12 Months 12/31/04 | |
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1. Working Capital Management: | |
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Net Working Capital: | |
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Current Assets | $12,284 | |
$10,421 | |
$10,527 | |
$12,717 | |
$13,099 | |
$13,670 | |
$14,658 | |
$15,687 | |
$16,997 | |
$18,603 | |
Current Liabilities | (5,269) | |
(9,696) | |
(5,231) | |
(6,715) | |
(6,595) | |
(10,195) | |
(7,738) | |
(9,383) | |
(10,720) | |
(15,851) | |
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Net Working Capital | $7,015 | |
$725 | |
$5,296 | |
$6,002 | |
$6,504 | |
$3,475 | |
$6,920 | |
$6,304 | |
$6,277 | |
$2,752 | |
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Current Ratio: | |
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Current Assets, divided by Current Liabilities | 2.33 | |
1.07 | |
2.01 | |
1.89 | |
1.99 | |
1.34 | |
1.89 | |
1.67 | |
1.59 | |
1.17 | |
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Quick Ratio: | |
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Cash plus Accounts Receivable divided by Current Liabilities | 1.47 | |
0.65 | |
1.23 | |
1.10 | |
1.03 | |
0.77 | |
1.09 | |
0.97 | |
0.92 | |
0.68 | |
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Net Working Capital Turnover: | |
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Net Sales, divided by Net Working Capital | 4.46 | |
46.70 | |
6.17 | |
6.50 | |
5.23 | |
12.02 | |
6.52 | |
7.73 | |
8.46 | |
21.23 | |
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2. Asset Management: | |
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Number of Days Sales in Accounts Receivable | |
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Accounts Receivable, divided by Net Sales/365 | 54.2 | |
62.2 | |
63.5 | |
63.0 | |
65.5 | |
63.0 | |
63.0 | |
63.0 | |
63.0 | |
63.0 | |
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Number of Days Cost of Goods Sold in Inventory | |
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Inventory, divided by Cost of Goods Sold / 365 | 63.8 | |
53.5 | |
57.9 | |
65.0 | |
88.7 | |
65.0 | |
65.0 | |
65.0 | |
65.0 | |
65.0 | |
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Capital Expenditures (Net): | |
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Ending Property, Plant and Equipment, minus Beginning Property, Plant and Equipment | $987 | |
$2,128 | |
$1,818 | |
$3,210 | |
$532 | |
$3,210 | |
$3,210 | |
$3,210 | |
$3,210 | |
$3,210 | |
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Depreciation (Net): | |
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Ending Accumulated Depreciation, minus Beginning Accumulated Depreciation | $1,395 | |
$1,176 | |
$1,224 | |
$1,592 | |
$531 | |
$1,592 | |
$1,592 | |
$1,592 | |
$1,592 | |
$1,592 | |
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Net Property, Plant and Equipment: | |
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Property, Plant and Equipment, minus Accumulated Depreciation | $10,205 | |
$11,157 | |
$11,751 | |
$13,369 | |
$13,370 | |
$14,987 | |
$16,605 | |
$18,223 | |
$19,841 | |
$21,459 | |
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Fixed Asset Turnover: | |
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Net Sales, divided by Net Property, Plant and Equipment | 3.07 | |
3.04 | |
2.78 | |
2.92 | |
2.54 | |
2.79 | |
2.72 | |
2.67 | |
2.68 | |
2.72 | |
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Total Asset Turnover: | |
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Net Sales, divided Total Assets | 1.38 | |
1.54 | |
1.44 | |
1.46 | |
1.26 | |
1.37 | |
1.36 | |
1.36 | |
1.38 | |
1.41 | |
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3. Liabilities Management: | |
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Number of Days Cost of Goods Sold in Accounts Payable | |
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Accounts Payable, divided by Cost of Goods Sold / 365 | 28.4 | |
31.1 | |
24.0 | |
30.0 | |
31.0 | |
30.0 | |
30.0 | |
30.0 | |
30.0 | |
30.0 | |
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Number of Days Operating Expenses in Accrued Expenses: | |
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Accrued Expenses, divided by Operating Expenses / 365 | 221.4 | |
213.4 | |
163.2 | |
165.0 | |
170.0 | |
165.0 | |
165.0 | |
165.0 | |
165.0 | |
165.0 | |
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Current Maturities: | |
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Current Maturities of Long Term Debt | $653 | |
$5,049 | |
$1,744 | |
$2,327 | |
$2,327 | |
$2,327 | |
$2,327 | |
$2,327 | |
$2,327 | |
$2,327 | |
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Long Term Liabilities, as % of Total Assets: | |
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Total Long Term Liabilities, divided by Total Assets | 21.3% | |
68.5% | |
77.5% | |
64.8% | |
64.3% | |
49.6% | |
50.4% | |
40.3% | |
31.4% | |
13.9% | |
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Total Liabilities, as % of Total Assets: | |
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Total Liabilities, divided by Total Assets | 44.5% | |
112.7% | |
100.6% | |
89.8% | |
88.6% | |
83.1% | |
73.7% | |
66.5% | |
59.3% | |
52.0% | |
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Debt-to-Worth Ratio: | |
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Total Liabilities, divided by Owners' Equity | 0.80 | |
(8.90) | |
(170.04) | |
8.85 | |
7.79 | |
4.91 | |
2.80 | |
1.98 | |
1.46 | |
1.09 | |
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4. Profitability Management: | |
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Gross Margin on Sales: | |
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Net Sales, minus Cost of Goods Sold | $8,872 | |
$8,639 | |
$8,923 | |
$11,250 | |
$2,380 | |
$11,279 | |
$12,316 | |
$13,643 | |
$14,924 | |
$16,358 | |
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Gross Margin %: | |
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Gross Margin on Sales, divided by Net Sales | 28.4% | |
25.5% | |
27.3% | |
28.8% | |
28.0% | |
27.0% | |
27.3% | |
28.0% | |
28.1% | |
28.0% | |
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Operating Earnings: | |
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Gross Margin on sales, minus Operating Expenses | $4,820 | |
$4,361 | |
$4,619 | |
$6,595 | |
$1,205 | |
$5,514 | |
$6,135 | |
$6,968 | |
$7,701 | |
$8,471 | |
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Operating Earnings %: | |
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Operating Earnings, divided by Net Sales | 15.4% | |
12.9% | |
14.1% | |
16.9% | |
14.2% | |
13.2% | |
13.6% | |
14.3% | |
14.5% | |
14.5% | |
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Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization of Intangible Assets (Referred to as "EBITDA") | |
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Net Earnings, plus Interest Expense, plus Income Tax Expense, plus Depreciation, plus Amortization of Intangible Assets ("EBITDA") | $5,493 | |
$5,450 | |
$6,120 | |
$8,697 | |
$1,936 | |
$7,416 | |
$8,037 | |
$8,870 | |
$9,603 | |
$10,373 | |
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EBITDA as % of Net Sales: | |
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EBITDA, divided by Net Sales | 17.6% | |
16.1% | |
18.7% | |
22.3% | |
22.8% | |
17.8% | |
17.8% | |
18.2% | |
18.1% | |
17.8% | |
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Earnings Before Income Taxes: | |
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Net Earnings, plus Income Taxes | $3,635 | |
$2,718 | |
$3,007 | |
$4,763 | |
$964 | |
$4,030 | |
$4,334 | |
$5,424 | |
$6,072 | |
$7,116 | |
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Net Earnings Per Share: | |
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Net Earnings, divided by Common Shares Outstanding | $21.51 | |
$25.17 | |
$30.07 | |
$47.63 | |
$9.64 | |
$24.18 | |
$26.00 | |
$32.54 | |
$36.43 | |
$42.70 | |
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Earnings Before Income Taxes as % of Net Sales: | |
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Earnings Before Income Taxes, divided by Net Sales | 11.6% | |
8.0% | |
9.2% | |
12.2% | |
11.3% | |
9.7% | |
9.6% | |
11.1% | |
11.4% | |
12.2% | |
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Net Earnings as % of Net Sales: | |
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Net Earnings, divided by Net Sales | 6.9% | |
7.4% | |
9.2% | |
12.2% | |
11.3% | |
5.8% | |
5.8% | |
6.7% | |
6.9% | |
7.3% | |
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5.   Debt Management: | |
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Senior Interest Expense: | |
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Interest on Line of Credit, plus Interest on Term Loan | $363 | |
$1,456 | |
$1,789 | |
$2,142 | |
$391 | |
$1,794 | |
$1,581 | |
$1,299 | |
$1,184 | |
$1,035 | |
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Non-Senior Interest Expense: | |
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Interest on Subordinated Debt | $0 | |
$0 | |
$0 | |
$0 | |
$0 | |
$0 | |
$480 | |
$480 | |
$480 | |
$480 | |
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Total Interest Expense: | |
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Senior Interest Expense, plus Non-Senior Interest Expense | $363 | |
$1,456 | |
$1,789 | |
$2,142 | |
$391 | |
$1,794 | |
$2,061 | |
$1,779 | |
$1,664 | |
$1,515 | |
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EBITDA Coverage of Senior Interest Expense: | |
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EBITDA, divided by Senior Interest Expense | 15.13 | |
3.74 | |
3.42 | |
4.06 | |
4.95 | |
4.13 | |
5.08 | |
6.83 | |
8.11 | |
10.02 | |
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EBITDA Coverage of Total Interest Expense: | |
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EBITDA, divided by Total Interest Expense | 15.13 | |
3.74 | |
3.42 | |
4.06 | |
4.95 | |
4.13 | |
3.90 | |
4.99 | |
5.77 | |
6.85 | |
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Required Debt Service: | |
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Total Interest Expense, plus Current Maturities | $1,016 | |
$6,505 | |
$3,533 | |
$4,469 | |
$2,718 | |
$4,121 | |
$4,388 | |
$4,106 | |
$3,991 | |
$3,842 | |
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EBITDA Coverage of Required Debt Service: | |
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EBITDA, divided by Required Debt Service | 5.41 | |
0.84 | |
1.73 | |
1.95 | |
0.71 | |
1.80 | |
1.83 | |
2.16 | |
2.41 | |
2.70 | |
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EBITDA minus Capex, divided By Required Debt Service: | |
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|
|
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| |
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|
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EBITDA minus Capital Expenditures, divided by Required Debt Service | 4.44 | |
0.51 | |
1.22 | |
1.23 | |
0.52 | |
1.02 | |
1.10 | |
1.38 | |
1.60 | |
1.86 | |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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| |
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Free Cash Flow: | |
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| |
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Net Earnings, plus Depreciation minus Capital Expenditures, minus Dividends | $2,559 | |
$(11,091) | |
$2,051 | |
$1,240 | |
$353 | |
$800 | |
$982 | |
$1,636 | |
$2,025 | |
$2,652 | |
| |
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Cash Available for Debt Service: | |
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Free Cash Flow, plus Total Interest Expense | $2,922 | |
$(9,635) | |
$3,840 | |
$3,382 | |
$744 | |
$2,594 | |
$3,043 | |
$3,415 | |
$3,689 | |
$4,167 | |
| |
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Debt Service Coverage: | |
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Cash Available for Debt Service, divided by Required Debt Service | 2.88 | |
(1.48) | |
1.09 | |
0.76 | |
0.27 | |
0.63 | |
0.69 | |
0.83 | |
0.92 | |
1.08 | |
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6. Estimated Bank Credit Availability: | |
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Borrowing Base Assets: | |
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Accounts Receivable | $4,647 | |
$5,766 | |
$5,685 | |
$6,738 | |
$6,100 | |
$7,210 | |
$7,787 | |
$8,410 | |
$9,167 | |
$10,083 | |
Inventory | 3,916 | |
3,693 | |
3,769 | |
4,949 | |
5,950 | |
5,430 | |
5,841 | |
6,247 | |
6,800 | |
7,490 | |
Property, Plant and Equipment (Net) | 10,205 | |
11,157 | |
11,751 | |
13,369 | |
13,370 | |
14,987 | |
16,605 | |
18,223 | |
19,841 | |
21,459 | |
| |
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Estimated Borrowing Base %: | |
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Accounts Receivable | 80.0% | |
80.0% | |
80.0% | |
80.0% | |
80.0% | |
80.0% | |
80.0% | |
80.0% | |
80.0% | |
80.0% | |
Inventory | 35.0% | |
35.0% | |
35.0% | |
35.0% | |
35.0% | |
35.0% | |
35.0% | |
35.0% | |
35.0% | |
35.0% | |
Property, Plant and Equipment | 50.0% | |
50.0% | |
50.0% | |
50.0% | |
50.0% | |
50.0% | |
50.0% | |
50.0% | |
50.0% | |
50.0% | |
| |
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Estimated Amount Available to Borrow: | |
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|
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|
|
|
|
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| |
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
Accounts Receivable | $3,718 | |
$4,613 | |
$4,548 | |
$5,390 | |
$4,880 | |
$5,768 | |
$6,230 | |
$6,728 | |
$7,334 | |
$8,066 | |
Inventory | 1,371 | |
1,293 | |
1,319 | |
1,732 | |
2,082 | |
1,900 | |
2,044 | |
2,186 | |
2,380 | |
2,622 | |
Property, Plant and Equipment | 5,102 | |
5,578 | |
5,876 | |
6,684 | |
6,685 | |
7,494 | |
8,302 | |
9,112 | |
9,920 | |
10,730 | |
| | | |
| $10,191 | |
$11,484 | |
$11,743 | |
$13,806 | |
$13,647 | |
$15,162 | |
$16,576 | |
$18,026 | |
$19,634 | |
$21,418 | |
| |
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Loans Outstanding: | |
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| |
|
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|
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Line of Credit | $0 | |
$0 | |
$0 | |
$0 | |
$0 | |
$2,756 | |
$(79) | |
$1,156 | |
$1,990 | |
$6,502 | |
Current Maturities | 653 | |
5,049 | |
1,744 | |
2,327 | |
2,327 | |
2,327 | |
2,327 | |
2,327 | |
2,327 | |
2,327 | |
Term Loan | 2,986 | |
14,742 | |
17,476 | |
17,396 | |
17,396 | |
15,069 | |
12,742 | |
10,415 | |
8,088 | |
5,761 | |
| | | |
| $3,639 | |
$19,791 | |
$19,220 | |
$19,723 | |
$19,723 | |
$20,152 | |
$14,990 | |
$13,898 | |
$12,405 | |
$14,590 | |
| |
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|
|
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|
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Estimated Net Bank Borrowing Availability: | |
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|
|
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|
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| |
|
|
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Estimated Amount Available to Borrow, minus Loans Outstanding | $6,552 | |
$(8,307) | |
$(7,477) | |
$(5,917) | |
$(6,076) | |
$(4,990) | |
$1,586 | |
$4,128 | |
$7,229 | |
$6,828 | |