| Forecast |
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| 12 Months Year 1 | |
12 Months Year 2 | |
12 Months Year 3 | |
12 Months Year 4 | |
12 Months Year 5 | |
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1. Working Capital Management: | |
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Net Working Capital: | |
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Current Assets | $114 | |
$126 | |
$138 | |
$152 | |
$166 | |
Current Liabilities | (75) | |
(79) | |
(82) | |
(85) | |
(88) | |
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Net Working Capital | $39 | |
$47 | |
$55 | |
$67 | |
$78 | |
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Current Ratio: | |
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Current Assets, divided by Current Liabilities | 1.52 | |
1.59 | |
1.67 | |
1.78 | |
1.88 | |
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Quick Ratio: | |
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Cash plus Accounts Receivable divided by Current Liabilities | 0.69 | |
0.72 | |
0.75 | |
0.80 | |
0.84 | |
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Net Working Capital Turnover: | |
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Net Sales, divided by Net Working Capital | 12.82 | |
11.70 | |
11.00 | |
9.94 | |
9.40 | |
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2. Asset Management: | |
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Number of Days Sales in Accounts Receivable | |
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Accounts Receivable, divided by Net Sales/365 | 28.9 | |
28.9 | |
28.9 | |
28.9 | |
28.9 | |
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Number of Days Cost of Goods Sold in Inventory | |
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Inventory, divided by Cost of Goods Sold / 365 | 65.6 | |
65.6 | |
65.6 | |
65.6 | |
65.6 | |
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Capital Expenditures (Net): | |
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Ending Property, Plant and Equipment, minus Beginning Property, Plant and Equipment | $36 | |
$10 | |
$11 | |
$12 | |
$14 | |
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Depreciation (Net): | |
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Ending Accumulated Depreciation, minus Beginning Accumulated Depreciation | $6 | |
$7 | |
$8 | |
$9 | |
$10 | |
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Net Property, Plant and Equipment: | |
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Property, Plant and Equipment, minus Accumulated Depreciation | $30 | |
$33 | |
$36 | |
$40 | |
$44 | |
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Fixed Asset Turnover: | |
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Net Sales, divided by Net Property, Plant and Equipment | 16.67 | |
16.52 | |
16.48 | |
16.53 | |
16.51 | |
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Total Asset Turnover: | |
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Net Sales, divided Total Assets | 3.11 | |
3.10 | |
3.12 | |
3.14 | |
3.15 | |
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3. Liabilities Management: | |
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Number of Days Cost of Goods Sold in Accounts Payable | |
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Accounts Payable, divided by Cost of Goods Sold / 365 | 37.6 | |
37.6 | |
37.6 | |
37.6 | |
37.6 | |
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Number of Days Operating Expenses in Accrued Expenses: | |
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Accrued Expenses, divided by Operating Expenses / 365 | 28.3 | |
28.3 | |
28.3 | |
28.3 | |
28.3 | |
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Current Maturities: | |
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Current Maturities of Long Term Debt | $8 | |
$9 | |
$10 | |
$11 | |
$12 | |
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Long Term Liabilities, as % of Total Assets: | |
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Total Long Term Liabilities, divided by Total Assets | 23.6% | |
23.7% | |
23.8% | |
24.0% | |
24.1% | |
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Total Liabilities, as % of Total Assets: | |
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Total Liabilities, divided by Total Assets | 70.2% | |
68.4% | |
66.4% | |
64.2% | |
62.1% | |
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Debt-to-Worth Ratio: | |
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Total Liabilities, divided by Owners' Equity | 2.35 | |
2.17 | |
1.98 | |
1.79 | |
1.64 | |
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4. Profitability Management: | |
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Gross Margin on Sales: | |
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Net Sales, minus Cost of Goods Sold | $188 | |
$206 | |
$227 | |
$250 | |
$275 | |
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Gross Margin %: | |
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Gross Margin on Sales, divided by Net Sales | 37.5% | |
37.5% | |
37.5% | |
37.5% | |
37.5% | |
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Operating Earnings: | |
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Gross Margin on sales, minus Operating Expenses | $18 | |
$19 | |
$21 | |
$24 | |
$26 | |
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Operating Earnings %: | |
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Operating Earnings, divided by Net Sales | 3.6% | |
3.5% | |
3.5% | |
3.6% | |
3.5% | |
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Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization of Intangible Assets (Referred to as "EBITDA") | |
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Net Earnings, plus Interest Expense, plus Income Tax Expense, plus Depreciation, plus Amortization of Intangible Assets ("EBITDA") | $20 | |
$26 | |
$29 | |
$33 | |
$36 | |
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EBITDA as % of Net Sales: | |
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EBITDA, divided by Net Sales | 4.0% | |
4.7% | |
4.8% | |
5.0% | |
4.9% | |
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Earnings Before Income Taxes: | |
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Net Earnings, plus Income Taxes | $14 | |
$13 | |
$15 | |
$19 | |
$20 | |
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Net Earnings Per Share: | |
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Net Earnings, divided by Common Shares Outstanding | $0.08 | |
$0.08 | |
$0.09 | |
$0.11 | |
$0.12 | |
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Earnings Before Income Taxes as % of Net Sales: | |
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Earnings Before Income Taxes, divided by Net Sales | 2.8% | |
2.4% | |
2.5% | |
2.9% | |
2.7% | |
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Net Earnings as % of Net Sales: | |
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Net Earnings, divided by Net Sales | 1.6% | |
1.5% | |
1.5% | |
1.7% | |
1.6% | |
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5.   Debt Management: | |
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Senior Interest Expense: | |
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Interest on Line of Credit, plus Interest on Term Loan | $4 | |
$6 | |
$6 | |
$5 | |
$6 | |
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Non-Senior Interest Expense: | |
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Interest on Subordinated Debt | $0 | |
$0 | |
$0 | |
$0 | |
$0 | |
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Total Interest Expense: | |
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Senior Interest Expense, plus Non-Senior Interest Expense | $4 | |
$6 | |
$6 | |
$5 | |
$6 | |
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EBITDA Coverage of Senior Interest Expense: | |
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EBITDA, divided by Senior Interest Expense | 5.00 | |
4.33 | |
4.83 | |
6.60 | |
6.00 | |
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EBITDA Coverage of Total Interest Expense: | |
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EBITDA, divided by Total Interest Expense | 5.00 | |
4.33 | |
4.83 | |
6.60 | |
6.00 | |
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Required Debt Service: | |
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Total Interest Expense, plus Current Maturities | $12 | |
$15 | |
$16 | |
$16 | |
$18 | |
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EBITDA Coverage of Required Debt Service: | |
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EBITDA, divided by Required Debt Service | 1.67 | |
1.73 | |
1.81 | |
2.06 | |
2.00 | |
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EBITDA minus Capex, divided By Required Debt Service: | |
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EBITDA minus Capital Expenditures, divided by Required Debt Service | (1.33) | |
1.05 | |
1.10 | |
1.27 | |
1.22 | |
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Free Cash Flow: | |
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Net Earnings, plus Depreciation minus Capital Expenditures, minus Dividends | $(22) | |
$4 | |
$5 | |
$7 | |
$7 | |
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Cash Available for Debt Service: | |
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Free Cash Flow, plus Total Interest Expense | $(18) | |
$10 | |
$11 | |
$12 | |
$13 | |
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Debt Service Coverage: | |
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Cash Available for Debt Service, divided by Required Debt Service | (1.50) | |
0.71 | |
0.72 | |
0.78 | |
0.77 | |
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6. Estimated Bank Credit Availability: | |
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Borrowing Base Assets: | |
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Accounts Receivable | $40 | |
$44 | |
$48 | |
$53 | |
$58 | |
Inventory | 56 | |
62 | |
68 | |
75 | |
82 | |
Property, Plant and Equipment (Net) | 30 | |
33 | |
36 | |
40 | |
44 | |
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Estimated Borrowing Base %: | |
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Accounts Receivable | 80.0% | |
80.0% | |
80.0% | |
80.0% | |
80.0% | |
Inventory | 35.0% | |
35.0% | |
35.0% | |
35.0% | |
35.0% | |
Property, Plant and Equipment | 50.0% | |
50.0% | |
50.0% | |
50.0% | |
50.0% | |
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Estimated Amount Available to Borrow: | |
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Accounts Receivable | $32 | |
$35 | |
$38 | |
$42 | |
$46 | |
Inventory | 20 | |
22 | |
24 | |
26 | |
29 | |
Property, Plant and Equipment | 15 | |
17 | |
18 | |
20 | |
22 | |
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| $67 | |
$74 | |
$80 | |
$88 | |
$97 | |
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Loans Outstanding: | |
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Line of Credit | $22 | |
$21 | |
$17 | |
$13 | |
$10 | |
Current Maturities | 8 | |
9 | |
10 | |
11 | |
12 | |
Term Loan | 32 | |
35 | |
38 | |
42 | |
46 | |
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| $62 | |
$65 | |
$66 | |
$66 | |
$68 | |
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Estimated Net Bank Borrowing Availability: | |
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Estimated Amount Available to Borrow, minus Loans Outstanding | $5 | |
$9 | |
$14 | |
$22 | |
$29 | |