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Actual |
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Forecast |
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Forecast |
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| 12 Months 12/31/96 | | 12 Months 12/31/97 | | 12 Months 12/31/98 | | 12 Months 12/31/99 | | 3 Months 03/31/00 | | 12 Months 12/31/00 | | 12 Months 12/31/01 | | 12 Months 12/31/02 | | 12 Months 12/31/03 | | 12 Months 12/31/04 | |
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1. Working Capital Management: | |
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Net Working Capital: | |
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Current Assets | $12,284 | |
$10,421 | |
$10,527 | |
$12,717 | |
$13,099 | |
$14,937 | |
$16,935 | |
$20,075 | |
$23,811 | |
$28,255 | |
Current Liabilities | (5,269) | |
(9,696) | |
(5,231) | |
(6,715) | |
(6,595) | |
(9,835) | |
(11,164) | |
(13,175) | |
(13,679) | |
(66,807) | |
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Net Working Capital | $7,015 | |
$725 | |
$5,296 | |
$6,002 | |
$6,504 | |
$5,102 | |
$5,771 | |
$6,900 | |
$10,132 | |
$(38,552) | |
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Current Ratio: | |
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Current Assets, divided by Current Liabilities | 2.33 | |
1.07 | |
2.01 | |
1.89 | |
1.99 | |
1.52 | |
1.52 | |
1.52 | |
1.74 | |
0.42 | |
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Quick Ratio: | |
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Cash plus Accounts Receivable divided by Current Liabilities | 1.47 | |
0.65 | |
1.23 | |
1.10 | |
1.03 | |
0.88 | |
0.86 | |
0.87 | |
1.00 | |
0.24 | |
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Net Working Capital Turnover: | |
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Net Sales, divided by Net Working Capital | 4.46 | |
46.70 | |
6.17 | |
6.50 | |
5.23 | |
9.14 | |
9.64 | |
9.63 | |
7.83 | |
(2.46) | |
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2. Asset Management: | |
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Number of Days Sales in Accounts Receivable | |
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Accounts Receivable, divided by Net Sales/365 | 54.2 | |
62.2 | |
63.5 | |
63.0 | |
65.5 | |
63.0 | |
63.0 | |
63.0 | |
63.0 | |
63.0 | |
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Number of Days Cost of Goods Sold in Inventory | |
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Inventory, divided by Cost of Goods Sold / 365 | 63.8 | |
53.5 | |
57.9 | |
65.0 | |
88.7 | |
65.0 | |
65.0 | |
65.0 | |
65.0 | |
65.0 | |
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Capital Expenditures (Net): | |
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Ending Property, Plant and Equipment, minus Beginning Property, Plant and Equipment | $987 | |
$2,128 | |
$1,818 | |
$3,210 | |
$532 | |
$3,210 | |
$3,210 | |
$3,210 | |
$3,210 | |
$3,210 | |
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Depreciation (Net): | |
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Ending Accumulated Depreciation, minus Beginning Accumulated Depreciation | $1,395 | |
$1,176 | |
$1,224 | |
$1,592 | |
$531 | |
$1,592 | |
$1,592 | |
$1,592 | |
$1,592 | |
$1,592 | |
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Net Property, Plant and Equipment: | |
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Property, Plant and Equipment, minus Accumulated Depreciation | $10,205 | |
$11,157 | |
$11,751 | |
$13,369 | |
$13,370 | |
$14,987 | |
$19,618 | |
$21,236 | |
$22,854 | |
$24,472 | |
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Fixed Asset Turnover: | |
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Net Sales, divided by Net Property, Plant and Equipment | 3.07 | |
3.04 | |
2.78 | |
2.92 | |
2.54 | |
3.11 | |
2.84 | |
3.13 | |
3.47 | |
3.87 | |
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Total Asset Turnover: | |
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Net Sales, divided Total Assets | 1.38 | |
1.54 | |
1.44 | |
1.46 | |
1.26 | |
1.47 | |
0.61 | |
0.73 | |
0.85 | |
0.99 | |
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3. Liabilities Management: | |
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Number of Days Cost of Goods Sold in Accounts Payable | |
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Accounts Payable, divided by Cost of Goods Sold / 365 | 28.4 | |
31.1 | |
24.0 | |
30.0 | |
31.0 | |
30.0 | |
30.0 | |
30.0 | |
30.0 | |
30.0 | |
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Number of Days Operating Expenses in Accrued Expenses: | |
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Accrued Expenses, divided by Operating Expenses / 365 | 221.4 | |
213.4 | |
163.2 | |
165.0 | |
170.0 | |
165.0 | |
165.0 | |
165.0 | |
165.0 | |
165.0 | |
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Current Maturities: | |
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Current Maturities of Long Term Debt | $653 | |
$5,049 | |
$1,744 | |
$2,327 | |
$2,327 | |
$2,327 | |
$1,900 | |
$1,900 | |
$1,900 | |
$1,900 | |
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Long Term Liabilities, as % of Total Assets: | |
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Total Long Term Liabilities, divided by Total Assets | 21.3% | |
68.5% | |
77.5% | |
64.8% | |
64.3% | |
47.6% | |
68.7% | |
65.9% | |
62.8% | |
2.0% | |
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Total Liabilities, as % of Total Assets: | |
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Total Liabilities, divided by Total Assets | 44.5% | |
112.7% | |
100.6% | |
89.8% | |
88.6% | |
78.6% | |
81.0% | |
80.3% | |
77.5% | |
72.0% | |
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Debt-to-Worth Ratio: | |
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Total Liabilities, divided by Owners' Equity | 0.80 | |
(8.90) | |
(170.04) | |
8.85 | |
7.79 | |
3.68 | |
4.27 | |
4.08 | |
3.44 | |
2.58 | |
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4. Profitability Management: | |
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Gross Margin on Sales: | |
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Net Sales, minus Cost of Goods Sold | $8,872 | |
$8,639 | |
$8,923 | |
$11,250 | |
$2,380 | |
$13,705 | |
$16,641 | |
$20,268 | |
$24,677 | |
$30,032 | |
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Gross Margin %: | |
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Gross Margin on Sales, divided by Net Sales | 28.4% | |
25.5% | |
27.3% | |
28.8% | |
28.0% | |
29.4% | |
29.9% | |
30.5% | |
31.1% | |
31.7% | |
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Operating Earnings: | |
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Gross Margin on sales, minus Operating Expenses | $4,820 | |
$4,361 | |
$4,619 | |
$6,595 | |
$1,205 | |
$8,205 | |
$10,279 | |
$12,734 | |
$15,752 | |
$19,551 | |
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Operating Earnings %: | |
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Operating Earnings, divided by Net Sales | 15.4% | |
12.9% | |
14.1% | |
16.9% | |
14.2% | |
17.6% | |
18.5% | |
19.2% | |
19.9% | |
20.6% | |
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Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization of Intangible Assets (Referred to as "EBITDA") | |
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Net Earnings, plus Interest Expense, plus Income Tax Expense, plus Depreciation, plus Amortization of Intangible Assets ("EBITDA") | $5,493 | |
$5,450 | |
$6,120 | |
$8,697 | |
$1,936 | |
$10,107 | |
$11,871 | |
$14,326 | |
$17,344 | |
$21,143 | |
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EBITDA as % of Net Sales: | |
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EBITDA, divided by Net Sales | 17.6% | |
16.1% | |
18.7% | |
22.3% | |
22.8% | |
21.7% | |
21.3% | |
21.6% | |
21.9% | |
22.3% | |
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Earnings Before Income Taxes: | |
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Net Earnings, plus Income Taxes | $3,635 | |
$2,718 | |
$3,007 | |
$4,763 | |
$964 | |
$6,741 | |
$(1,466) | |
$1,272 | |
$4,458 | |
$8,602 | |
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Net Earnings Per Share: | |
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Net Earnings, divided by Common Shares Outstanding | $21.51 | |
$25.17 | |
$30.07 | |
$47.63 | |
$9.64 | |
$67.41 | |
$(9.67) | |
$8.39 | |
$29.42 | |
$56.77 | |
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Earnings Before Income Taxes as % of Net Sales: | |
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Earnings Before Income Taxes, divided by Net Sales | 11.6% | |
8.0% | |
9.2% | |
12.2% | |
11.3% | |
14.5% | |
(2.6)% | |
1.9% | |
5.6% | |
9.1% | |
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Net Earnings as % of Net Sales: | |
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Net Earnings, divided by Net Sales | 6.9% | |
7.4% | |
9.2% | |
12.2% | |
11.3% | |
14.5% | |
(1.7)% | |
1.3% | |
3.7% | |
6.0% | |
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5.   Debt Management: | |
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Senior Interest Expense: | |
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Interest on Line of Credit, plus Interest on Term Loan | $363 | |
$1,456 | |
$1,789 | |
$2,142 | |
$391 | |
$1,774 | |
$1,380 | |
$1,096 | |
$928 | |
$583 | |
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Non-Senior Interest Expense: | |
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Interest on Subordinated Debt | $0 | |
$0 | |
$0 | |
$0 | |
$0 | |
$0 | |
$6,558 | |
$6,558 | |
$6,558 | |
$6,558 | |
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Total Interest Expense: | |
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Senior Interest Expense, plus Non-Senior Interest Expense | $363 | |
$1,456 | |
$1,789 | |
$2,142 | |
$391 | |
$1,774 | |
$7,938 | |
$7,654 | |
$7,486 | |
$7,141 | |
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EBITDA Coverage of Senior Interest Expense: | |
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EBITDA, divided by Senior Interest Expense | 15.13 | |
3.74 | |
3.42 | |
4.06 | |
4.95 | |
5.70 | |
8.60 | |
13.07 | |
18.69 | |
36.27 | |
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EBITDA Coverage of Total Interest Expense: | |
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EBITDA, divided by Total Interest Expense | 15.13 | |
3.74 | |
3.42 | |
4.06 | |
4.95 | |
5.70 | |
1.50 | |
1.87 | |
2.32 | |
2.96 | |
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Required Debt Service: | |
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Total Interest Expense, plus Current Maturities | $1,016 | |
$6,505 | |
$3,533 | |
$4,469 | |
$2,718 | |
$4,101 | |
$9,838 | |
$9,554 | |
$9,386 | |
$9,041 | |
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EBITDA Coverage of Required Debt Service: | |
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EBITDA, divided by Required Debt Service | 5.41 | |
0.84 | |
1.73 | |
1.95 | |
0.71 | |
2.46 | |
1.21 | |
1.50 | |
1.85 | |
2.34 | |
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EBITDA minus Capex, divided By Required Debt Service: | |
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EBITDA minus Capital Expenditures, divided by Required Debt Service | 4.44 | |
0.51 | |
1.22 | |
1.23 | |
0.52 | |
1.68 | |
0.88 | |
1.16 | |
1.51 | |
1.98 | |
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Free Cash Flow: | |
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Net Earnings, plus Depreciation minus Capital Expenditures, minus Dividends | $2,559 | |
$(11,091) | |
$2,051 | |
$1,240 | |
$353 | |
$2,427 | |
$(2,585) | |
$(778) | |
$1,324 | |
$4,059 | |
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Cash Available for Debt Service: | |
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Free Cash Flow, plus Total Interest Expense | $2,922 | |
$(9,635) | |
$3,840 | |
$3,382 | |
$744 | |
$4,201 | |
$5,352 | |
$6,875 | |
$8,810 | |
$11,200 | |
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Debt Service Coverage: | |
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Cash Available for Debt Service, divided by Required Debt Service | 2.88 | |
(1.48) | |
1.09 | |
0.76 | |
0.27 | |
1.02 | |
0.54 | |
0.72 | |
0.94 | |
1.24 | |
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6. Estimated Bank Credit Availability: | |
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Borrowing Base Assets: | |
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Accounts Receivable | $4,647 | |
$5,766 | |
$5,685 | |
$6,738 | |
$6,100 | |
$8,046 | |
$9,607 | |
$11,470 | |
$13,695 | |
$16,352 | |
Inventory | 3,916 | |
3,693 | |
3,769 | |
4,949 | |
5,950 | |
5,861 | |
6,948 | |
8,225 | |
9,736 | |
11,523 | |
Property, Plant and Equipment (Net) | 10,205 | |
11,157 | |
11,751 | |
13,369 | |
13,370 | |
14,987 | |
19,618 | |
21,236 | |
22,854 | |
24,472 | |
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Estimated Borrowing Base %: | |
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Accounts Receivable | 80.0% | |
80.0% | |
80.0% | |
80.0% | |
80.0% | |
80.0% | |
80.0% | |
80.0% | |
80.0% | |
80.0% | |
Inventory | 35.0% | |
35.0% | |
35.0% | |
35.0% | |
35.0% | |
35.0% | |
35.0% | |
35.0% | |
35.0% | |
35.0% | |
Property, Plant and Equipment | 50.0% | |
50.0% | |
50.0% | |
50.0% | |
50.0% | |
50.0% | |
50.0% | |
50.0% | |
50.0% | |
50.0% | |
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Estimated Amount Available to Borrow: | |
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Accounts Receivable | $3,718 | |
$4,613 | |
$4,548 | |
$5,390 | |
$4,880 | |
$6,437 | |
$7,686 | |
$9,176 | |
$10,956 | |
$13,082 | |
Inventory | 1,371 | |
1,293 | |
1,319 | |
1,732 | |
2,082 | |
2,051 | |
2,432 | |
2,879 | |
3,408 | |
4,033 | |
Property, Plant and Equipment | 5,102 | |
5,578 | |
5,876 | |
6,684 | |
6,685 | |
7,494 | |
9,809 | |
10,618 | |
11,427 | |
12,236 | |
| | | |
| $10,191 | |
$11,484 | |
$11,743 | |
$13,806 | |
$13,647 | |
$15,982 | |
$19,927 | |
$22,673 | |
$25,791 | |
$29,351 | |
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Loans Outstanding: | |
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Line of Credit | $0 | |
$0 | |
$0 | |
$0 | |
$0 | |
$2,317 | |
$3,181 | |
$4,073 | |
$3,251 | |
$54,851 | |
Current Maturities | 653 | |
5,049 | |
1,744 | |
2,327 | |
2,327 | |
2,327 | |
1,900 | |
1,900 | |
1,900 | |
1,900 | |
Term Loan | 2,986 | |
14,742 | |
17,476 | |
17,396 | |
17,396 | |
15,069 | |
7,600 | |
5,700 | |
3,800 | |
1,900 | |
| | | |
| $3,639 | |
$19,791 | |
$19,220 | |
$19,723 | |
$19,723 | |
$19,713 | |
$12,681 | |
$11,673 | |
$8,951 | |
$58,651 | |
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Estimated Net Bank Borrowing Availability: | |
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Estimated Amount Available to Borrow, minus Loans Outstanding | $6,552 | |
$(8,307) | |
$(7,477) | |
$(5,917) | |
$(6,076) | |
$(3,731) | |
$7,246 | |
$11,000 | |
$16,840 | |
$(29,300) | |